Thursday, May 21, 2009

U.K. May Lose AAA Rating at S&P as Finances Weaken

May 21 (Bloomberg) -- Britain may lose its AAA credit rating for the first time as government finances deteriorate in the worst recession since World War II.

Standard & Poor’s lowered its outlook on Britain to “negative” from “stable” and said the nation faces a one in three chance of a ratings cut as debt approaches 100 percent of gross domestic product. The pound fell the most in four weeks versus the dollar before rebounding, the FTSE 100 Index slid 2.8 percent and the cost of insuring U.K. debt against default rose.

Britain needs to sell a record 220 billion pounds ($349 billion) of bonds in the fiscal year through March 2010 as the economy contracts and Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling predicts that the budget deficit will reach 175 billion pounds, or 12.4 percent of GDP. The U.K.’s worsening finances parallel the public perception of Prime Minister Gordon Brown, whose Labour government has trailed the Conservative opposition for more than a year in polls.

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Source: Bloomberg

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Chart of Gold


Long term view of the Gold chart. See how it is right at the resistance. Stochastics are oversold and looks prime for a nice BO. If the trendline stops its here; we will pullback.

Chart of US Dollar

Long Term view of US dollar. See how RSI moved above the purple dotted line for the first time in 10 years. Now it is finding support at the purple RSI line.