Friday, January 4, 2008

December 2007 Job report

We had an increase of only 18,000 jobs in December 2007 marking the smallest increase in four years. The unemployment rate rose to 5.0%. In November we had an increase of 115,000 which was revised upward from 94,000 jobs. The unemployment rate in November was at 4.7%.
This increases a chance of 0.50% Fed funds rate cut in the next FOMC meeting. I believe the 0.25% cut was already factored in the market. More rate cuts, the more bad for the Dollar.

The QQQQ broke a significant trendline today following this report and is currently testing Nov lows. The 200 EMA is just a bit below the Nov lows and I believe we will bounce from that level.
The market has always bounced from this level in Feb 2007 and Aug 2007.

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