Chart of First Solar FSLR

One of the hottest Solar stocks. Look how it bounced strongly from the lower trendline. Great company, great earnings. This was one of the best winners in 2007.

Market ready to bounce

Bounced from the bottom trendline on the weekly chart. This is what I was waiting for all these days. All my timing indicators signalled a must-buy. I have been adding long positions in the afternoon when I started getting the confirmations.

India growing

India's economy keeps growing and expanding irrespective of what is happenning around the world. India was only minimally affected by the sub-prime crisis in the US.
As the money flow continues to emerging countries, India is one destination which you should not miss. Currently the markets are overextended in India, so it would be wise to wait for pullback.

Listed below is a nice article from Bloomberg. Excerpts follow:

Overseas investment in India may double in 2008 for a second straight year to reach $30 billion, the government forecasts, as the world's second-fastest growing major economy arrives at what Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. calls its ``take- off'' point. That's when consumer demand and business spending start feeding off one another and drive even more investment.

``India's growth acceleration is not a flash in the pan,'' says Robert Subbaraman, chief economist at Lehman Brothers Asia in Hong Kong. ``A middle class is fast emerging, which is spurring demand as consumption and investment interact.''

Like China and South Korea in previous decades, India is benefiting from an increasingly open economy that has already stimulated enough growth to double per-capita income since 2000, according to Lehman. The resulting surge in demand for consumer goods has tripled mobile phone use in two years and fueled a 29 percent jump in sales of microwave ovens in 2007, Lehman says.

Purchasing Power
With the explosion of purchasing power, India's economy is poised to expand 9 percent for a third straight year, while the U.S., Europe and Japan slow to less than 3 percent growth.

McKinsey & Co., the New York-based consulting firm, estimates that India's middle class -- those with annual disposable incomes between $4,380 and $21,890 in current dollars -- will increase more than 10-fold to 583 million by 2025.

India's appeal is more than a matter of demographics. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, who as finance minister in 1991 started dismantling barriers to foreign investment and other Soviet- style controls on industry, is preparing to permit overseas companies to build retail chains in the country. That's prompting interest from companies including Hertfordshire-based Tesco, Britain's largest retailer, and Paris-based Carrefour, which operates supermarkets on four continents.

Bigger Stakes
Singh's government is also moving to raise the limit on foreign equity stakes in local insurers to 49 percent from 26 percent, and has a roadmap to let foreign banks increase holdings in India's private banks. Brown's party will include representatives of Prudential Plc, the U.K.'s second-biggest insurer, and Barclays Plc, the No. 3 British bank, both based in London.

``India has long been noted for its superb `micro' -- good companies, rule of law, democracy,'' says Stephen Roach, chairman of Morgan Stanley in Asia. ``What has been missing is the `macro' -- foreign direct investments, infrastructure. What's encouraging to me about India now is that the macro is starting to improve and is reinforcing the already positive micro.''

Foreign ownership in telecommunications has helped India become the world's third-largest user of telecom services after China and the U.S. It's the world's fastest-growing wireless market.

`Heart of Globalization'
``India is a country of enormous opportunity; it's the heart of globalization in a way,'' says Ben Verwaayen, chief executive officer of London-based BT Group Plc, the U.K.'s largest phone company. ``You see a growing base for companies from around the globe, being here not just for this region itself, but being here as a kind of base for what they can do in other parts of the world as well.''

San Jose, California-based Cisco Systems Inc., the world's largest maker of computer-networking equipment, plans to triple its Indian workforce to 10,000 by 2010, Chief Executive Officer John Chambers said in October.

Automakers including General Motors Corp. and Suzuki Motor Corp. are spending more than $6.6 billion to build new factories in the country. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP says India's auto output will grow about 17 percent annually until 2011, the fastest among the 20 largest carmaking nations.

India's higher profile in the global economy not only makes it a magnet for foreign investment, but also gives its companies a bigger role on the world stage.

Overseas Acquisitions
Indian companies led by Tata Steel Ltd. and Hindalco Industries Ltd., both based in Mumbai, completed a record $39.2 billion of overseas acquisitions in 2007.

Tata's $12.9 billion purchase of Britain's Corus Group Plc, the biggest overseas takeover by an Indian company, made it the world's fifth-biggest steelmaker. Buying Novelis Inc. of Atlanta provided Hindalco, India's biggest aluminum producer, access to customers such as GM and Coca-Cola Co. The trend is continuing: Tata Motors Ltd. of Mumbai, India's largest truckmaker, last week was selected as the preferred bidder for Ford Motor Co.'s Jaguar and Land Rover units, the U.S. automaker announced.

Brown and Sarkozy are joining a parade of world leaders coming to India with agendas that include closer commercial ties. U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, visiting in October, said U.S. companies will participate in India's $500 billion program to modernize roads, ports, power and other infrastructure by 2012. The U.S. will help India transform its financial capital, Mumbai, into an international financial center, he said.

During an August visit, then Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said Japan will help plan a $90 billion infrastructure corridor between New Delhi and Mumbai, including freight lines, power stations and improved access to ports and airports.

Impediment

Such projects may reduce one of the biggest remaining impediments to doing business in India -- poor infrastructure. For all the expansion in the Indian market, its foreign direct investment still pales in comparison to what China has received -- about $60 billion in each of the past three years.

It takes 24 days for Indian exports to reach the U.S. compared with only 15 days from China and 12 from Hong Kong, according to Lehman Brothers.

``If India doesn't get its act together on infrastructure urgently, then it can never realize its aim of accelerating growth,'' says Vineet Agarwal, executive director of Gurgaon- based Transport Corporation of India Ltd., the nation's biggest cargo transportation and logistics services company.

Even as India's economy reaches take-off speed, almost 300 million people continue to live on less than $1 a day, according to the World Bank.

Fewer Poor
The absolute number of poor in India fell for the first time between 1999 and 2004 after the government's policies to allow more foreign investment and reduce regulation on industry spurred growth, according to the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

``The Chinese take-off began in the 1980s and didn't show through in terms of increased living standards for the majority for quite some time,'' says Howard Davies, director of the London School of Economics and a former chairman of the U.K. Financial Services Authority. ``Just the same way, India has got the economic take-off but it needs to be sustained for a decade before you really see the place looking different.''

Still on the sidelines

I am still waiting on the sidelines. No positions either long or short. Look at the intraday action- 1 min chart. You can see the wild action. Better to wait it out. We are close to a bounce level.

Maket in undecided territory

With the recession fears increasing with Friday's dismal job report, the market(QQQQ) couldn't bounce from the important 200 Day EMA. This has never happened in all of 2007. Whatever the situation in 2007, the trendline and the 200 EMA were important support areas.

At this time it is best to watch the action unroll before taking any aggressive positions. All my indicators point that some further downside present. A bounce will be probably coming later this week.

Remember this is Election year and historically the market does very well during election year.

December 2007 Job report

We had an increase of only 18,000 jobs in December 2007 marking the smallest increase in four years. The unemployment rate rose to 5.0%. In November we had an increase of 115,000 which was revised upward from 94,000 jobs. The unemployment rate in November was at 4.7%.
This increases a chance of 0.50% Fed funds rate cut in the next FOMC meeting. I believe the 0.25% cut was already factored in the market. More rate cuts, the more bad for the Dollar.

The QQQQ broke a significant trendline today following this report and is currently testing Nov lows. The 200 EMA is just a bit below the Nov lows and I believe we will bounce from that level.
The market has always bounced from this level in Feb 2007 and Aug 2007.

Happy New Year 2008

WISH ALL READERS A VERY HAPPY AND PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR !!
May 2008 be a better year than 2007 for all of us.